“The bipartisan GENIUS Act will provide regulatory clarity to this important industry, keep innovation on shore, add robust consumer protection, and reaffirm the dominance of the U https://realitypms.com/crypto/bitcoin/.S. dollar,” Gillibrand continued.
Another Trump-family linked crypto venture called World Liberty Financial recently announced that it was issuing its own stablecoin, called USD1. The stablecoin got a huge boost when World Liberty Financial announced last week that an investment fund in the United Arab Emirates would be using $2 billion worth of USD1 to purchase a stake in Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange.
This week, one of the top crypto news stories is Mantle Network’s integration announcement. After the Tectonic Upgrade was implemented in March 2024 and the Mainnet Alpha launch in July 2023, the Mantle ecosystem will undergo a planned update.
However, as some Democrats have insisted that an imperfect bill is better than no regulatory legislation, the top Democrat on the Senate Banking Committee argued the opposite. In a speech on the Senate floor on Monday afternoon, Sen. Elizabeth Warren insisted, “while a strong stablecoin bill is the best possible outcome, this weak bill is worse than no bill at all.”
In August 1971, President Richard Nixon announced 10% across-the-board tariffs on U.S. imports and ended the convertibility of Dollars into gold. Allies were not consulted in advance, even though the actions ended the multilateral Bretton Woods exchange rate system in place since World War II. The so-called “Nixon Shock” was followed by extensive negotiations over the next four months, culminating in the Smithsonian Agreement in December 1971, in which G10 nations agreed to revalue their currencies versus the Dollar in exchange for tariff relief. While the tariffs were ultimately short-lived, the events changed global trade flows and had long-lasting implications for financial markets (Exhibit 1).
While the recovery is promising, analysts caution about a potential correction. An excess of optimism in the market could lead to short-term drops, especially if Bitcoin surpasses $100,000 without strong institutional support.
From a technical standpoint, the most important news from the past month was arguably the shift in development priorities by the Ethereum Foundation (EF). There are multiple elements to the changes, but from the standpoint of investing in the Ether (ETH) token, the key change, in our view, was the renewed focus on scaling the Ethereum Layer 1 (i.e., increasing the transaction throughput of the Ethereum mainnet itself). Based on EF comments on social media and elsewhere, the rough expectation seems to be a 3x increase in Layer 1 transactions per second (TPS) each year for several years, with a long-run target of 10,000 TPS (Exhibit 4). Increasing Layer 1 TPS while maintaining a degree of pricing power is the best way to increase transaction fees, reduce token supply, and support the token’s price (for more detail, see Ethereum: The OG Smart Contract Blockchain).
In August 1971, President Richard Nixon announced 10% across-the-board tariffs on U.S. imports and ended the convertibility of Dollars into gold. Allies were not consulted in advance, even though the actions ended the multilateral Bretton Woods exchange rate system in place since World War II. The so-called “Nixon Shock” was followed by extensive negotiations over the next four months, culminating in the Smithsonian Agreement in December 1971, in which G10 nations agreed to revalue their currencies versus the Dollar in exchange for tariff relief. While the tariffs were ultimately short-lived, the events changed global trade flows and had long-lasting implications for financial markets (Exhibit 1).
While the recovery is promising, analysts caution about a potential correction. An excess of optimism in the market could lead to short-term drops, especially if Bitcoin surpasses $100,000 without strong institutional support.
From a technical standpoint, the most important news from the past month was arguably the shift in development priorities by the Ethereum Foundation (EF). There are multiple elements to the changes, but from the standpoint of investing in the Ether (ETH) token, the key change, in our view, was the renewed focus on scaling the Ethereum Layer 1 (i.e., increasing the transaction throughput of the Ethereum mainnet itself). Based on EF comments on social media and elsewhere, the rough expectation seems to be a 3x increase in Layer 1 transactions per second (TPS) each year for several years, with a long-run target of 10,000 TPS (Exhibit 4). Increasing Layer 1 TPS while maintaining a degree of pricing power is the best way to increase transaction fees, reduce token supply, and support the token’s price (for more detail, see Ethereum: The OG Smart Contract Blockchain).
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XRP remains a major player after clearing regulatory uncertainty. It has not yet reached $4, but speculation suggests it could surpass its previous high of $3. Increased adoption could drive future price growth.
Ripple’s RLUSD launch on Aave V3 illustrates its intent to carve a niche in the DeFi space by providing a stablecoin that not only promises high security with its clawback feature but also supports cross-border payments. This strategic move could disrupt the stablecoin market, currently dominated by USDT and USDC, by offering unique features that appeal to institutional investors.
In 2025, Ethereum is expected to trade in a wide range with a minimum price of $1,667 and maximum price of $4,911. If and whenever bullish momentum in crypto markets accelerates, ETH may push to our stretched price target of $5,590.
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Compared to the bustling March, April seems much quieter. The Federal Reserve has no meetings, and central banks of major economies are also temporarily subdued. We’ll see more continuation of relevant policies, such as the implementation of Trump’s tariff policies and the Fed’s slowing of balance sheet reduction.
The Pectra upgrade is Ethereum’s first major technical update in nearly 11 months, combining the “Prague” and “Electra” upgrade plans, mainly focusing on wallet experience optimization and validator mechanism reform. These improvements are believed to potentially attract more institutional and individual users, especially by lowering the staking threshold and enhancing wallet experience, directly benefiting Ethereum ecosystem adoption rates.
After the April tariff policy is implemented, the optimistic scenario is that Trump’s tariff policy doesn’t trigger large-scale trade retaliation, and the Fed releases dovish signals (such as hints at rate cuts), BTC could break through the $90,000 resistance level and test the $100,000 mark; but the pessimistic scenario is, if tariff conflicts escalate and PCE data exceeds expectations, BTC may test the $75,000-$80,000 support range, and the altcoin market may accelerate its collapse.
